Monday, February 16, 2009

Friday, February 13, 2009

Skydive

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Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Crude Oil Price


Friday, February 6, 2009

Aariz naik stroller

Balik naik bas

Forex 101 : Candlestick

 
Extract :

Candlestick

What Does It Mean?
What Does Candlestick Mean?
A price chart that displays the high, low, open, and close for a security each day over a specified period of time.

Candlestick
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Candlestick
There are many trading strategies based upon patterns in candlestick charting.

Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Forex 101 : Fibonacci retracement

 
Extract:

Fibonacci Retracement

What Does It Mean?
What Does Fibonacci Retracement Mean?
A term used in technical analysis that refers to the likelihood that a financial asset's price will retrace a large portion of an original move and find support or resistance at the key Fibonacci levels before it continues in the original direction. These levels are created by drawing a trendline between two extreme points and then dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%.

Fibonacci Retracement
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Fibonacci Retracement
Fibonacci retracement is a very popular tool used by many technical traders to help identify strategic places for transactions to be placed, target prices or stop losses. The notion of retracement is used in many indicators such as Tirone levels, Gartley patterns, Elliott Wave theory and more.

Forex 101 : FIbonacci Fan

 
Extract:
 

Fibonacci Fan

What Does It Mean?
What Does Fibonacci Fan Mean?
A charting technique consisting of three diagonal lines that use Fibonacci ratios to help identify key levels of support and resistance.

Fibonacci Fan
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Fibonacci Fan
Fibonacci fans are created by first drawing a trendline through two points (usually the high and low in a given period), and then by dividing the vertical distance between the two points by the key Fibonacci ratios of 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%. The result of these divisions each represent a point within the vertical distance. The three 'fan' lines are then created by drawing a line from the leftmost point to each of the three representing a Fibonacci ratio

Forex 101 : Profitable pattern #4 and #5

 
Extract :

Profitable Patterns Number Four and Five
Triple and Double Bottoms and Tops: Reversals upon reversals

When you see a W or M pattern forming, you may have just discovered a money-making double bottom or double top pattern. These patterns are common reversal patterns used to suggest the current stock trend may be likely to shift.

But don't panic if your double bottom or double top patterns do not develop as you had originally thought. You haven't lost your chance for cash. If your W or M pattern reverses for a fourth time, you could now be working with the profitable triple bottom or triple top.

Double Bottom Pattern

Double Bottom Pattern
A small peak is surrounded by two equal troughs.

Purchase When:

• The price exceeds the middle-peak price.

Watch For:

• A price increase of 10% to 20% from the first trough to the middle peak.
• Two equal lows, not to differ by more than 3% or 4%.

Set Your Target Price:

For the double bottom pattern, sell your stock at a target price of:

• Entry price plus the pattern's height (distance from the peak to the bottom of the lowest trough).

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Double Top Pattern

Double Top Pattern
A small trough is surrounded by two equal peaks.

Short Sell When:

• The price drops below the middle-trough price.

Watch For:

• A price decrease of 10% to 20% from the first peak to the middle trough.
• Two equal highs, not to differ by more than 3% or 4%.

Set Your Target Price:

For the double top pattern, buy shares at a target price of:

• Entry price minus the pattern's height (distance from the trough to the top of the highest peak).

Triple Bottom Pattern

Triple Bottom Pattern
Three equal troughs amid a series of peaks.


Purchase When:

• The price exceeds the resistance established by the prior peaks.

Watch For:

• A series of three identical troughs at the end of a prolonged downtrend.

Set Your Target Price:

For triple bottom patterns, sell your stock at a target price of:

• Entry price plus the pattern's height (distance from the resistance to the bottom of the lowest trough).

Triple Top Pattern

Triple Top Pattern
Three equal peaks amid a series of troughs.

Purchase When:

• The price falls below the support that formed from the prior troughs.

Watch For:

• A series of three peaks at relatively the same level.

Set Your Target Price:

For triple top patterns, buy shares at a target price of:

• Entry price minus the pattern's height (distance from the support to the top of the highest peak).

Forex 101 : Profitable pattern #3

 
Extract :

Profitable Pattern Number Three
Head and Shoulders: A ChartAdvisor Staple

The head and shoulders pattern is a prevailing pattern among short sellers, investors who profit from downtrends. After three peaks, the stock plummets, offering a textbook, high-return opportunity to traders who catch the trend early.

Head and Shoulders Pattern
Head and shoulder patterns are characterized by a large peak bordered on either side by two smaller peaks. Draw one trendline, called the neckline, connecting the bottom of the two troughs.

The first trough is a signal that buying demand is starting to weaken. Investors who believe the stock is undervalued respond with a buying frenzy, followed by a flood of selling when traders fear the stock has run too high. This decline is followed by another buying streak which fizzles out early. Finally, the stock declines to its true worth below the original price.

How to Profit from the Head and Shoulders Pattern

• Short sell as soon as the price moves below the neckline after the descent from the right shoulder.

Set Your Target Price:

For the head and shoulders pattern, buy shares at a target price of:

• Entry price minus the pattern's height (distance from the top of the head to the neckline).

Forex 101 : Profitable pattern #2

 
Extract :

Profitable Pattern Number Two
Ascending and Descending Triangles: The Traditional Bull and Bear

When you notice a stock has a series of increasing troughs and the price is unable to break through a price barrier, chances are you are witnessing the birth of an ascending triangle pattern.

Ascending Triangle Pattern
Confirm your ascending triangle pattern by drawing a horizontal line tracing the upper price barrier and a diagonal line tracing the series of ascending troughs.

The descending triangle is the bearish counterpart to the ascending triangle.

Descending Triangle Pattern
Confirm your descending triangle by drawing a horizontal line tracing the lower price barrier and a diagonal line tracing the series of descending troughs.

The ascending and descending patterns indicate a stock is increasing or decreasing in demand. The stock meets a level of support or resistance (the horizontal trendline) several times before breaking out and continuing in the direction of the developing up or down pattern.

How to Profit from Ascending and Descending Triangles

Ascending and descending triangles are short-term investor favorites, because the trends allow short-term traders to earn from the same sharp price increase that long-term investors have been waiting for. Rather than holding on to a stock for months or years before you finally see a big payday, you can buy and hold for only a period of days and reap in the same monster returns as the long-time stock owners.

As with many of our favorite patterns, when you learn to identify ascending and descending triangles, you can profit from upwards or downwards breakouts. That way, you'll earn a healthy profit regardless of where the market is going.

Watch For:

• An ascending or descending pattern forming over three to four weeks.

Set Your Target Price:

For ascending and descending triangles, sell your stock at a target price of:

• Entry price plus the pattern's height for an upward breakout.
• Entry price minus the pattern's height for a downward breakout.

Forex 101 : Profitable pattern #1

 
Extract :

Profitable Pattern Number One
The Symmetrical Triangle: A Reliable Workhorse

You'll recognize the symmetrical triangle pattern when you see a stock's price vacillating up and down and converging towards a single point. Its back and forth oscillations will become smaller and smaller until the stock reaches a critical price, breaks out of the pattern, and moves drastically up or down.

The symmetrical triangle pattern is formed when investors are unsure of a stock's value. Once the pattern is broken, investors jump on the bandwagon, shooting the stock price north or south.

Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
To form your symmetrical triangle pattern, draw two converging trendlines that bound the high and low prices. Your trendlines should form (you guessed it) a symmetrical triangle, lying on its side.


How to Profit from Symmetrical Triangles

Symmetrical triangles are very reliable. You can profit from upwards or downwards breakouts. You'll learn more about how to earn from downtrends when we talk about maximizing profits.

If you see a symmetrical triangle forming, watch it closely. The sooner you catch the breakout, the more money you stand to make.

Watch For:

• Sideways movement, a period of rest, before the breakout.
• Price of the asset traveling between two converging trendlines.
• Breakout ¾ of the way to the apex.
Set Your Target Price:

As with all patterns, knowing when to get out is as important as knowing when to get in. Your target price is the safest time to sell, even if it looks like the trend may be continuing.

For symmetrical triangles, sell your stock at a target price of:

• Entry price plus the pattern's height for an upward breakout.
• Entry price minus the pattern's height for a downward breakout.

ChartAdvisor Symmetrical Triangles in Action

Forex 101 : Money Flow Index (MFI)

 
Extract :
 

Money Flow Index - MFI

What Does It Mean?
What Does Money Flow Index - MFI Mean?
A momentum indicator that is used to determine the conviction in a current trend by analyzing the price and volume of a given security. The MFI is used as a measure of the strength of money going in and out of a security and can be used to predict a trend reversal. The MFI is range-bound between 0 and 100 and is interpreted in a similar fashion as the RSI.
 
Money Flow Index (MFI)
 

The money flow index is calculated by using the following formula:

Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Money Flow = Typical price * Volume
Money Ratio = Positive Money Flow/Negative Money Flow

Note: Positive money values are created when the typical price is greater than the previous typical price value. The sum of positive money over the number of periods used to create the indicator is used to create the positive money flow - the values used in the money ratio. The opposite is true for the negative money flow values.

Money Flow Index = 100 - (100/ (1 + Money Ratio))
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Money Flow Index - MFI
The money flow index is similar to the relative strength index (RSI). The fundamental difference is that the MFI also accounts for volume, whereas the RSI only incorporates price. Many traders watch for opportunities that arise when the MFI moves in the opposite direction as the price. This divergence can often be a leading indicator of a change in the current trend.

Forex 101 : Divergence

 
Extract :

Divergence

What Does It Mean?
What Does Divergence Mean?
When the price of an asset and an indicator, index or other related asset move in opposite directions. In technical analysis, traders make transaction decisions by identifying situations of divergence, where the price of a stock and a set of relevant indicators, such as the money flow index (MFI), are moving in opposite directions.

Divergence
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Divergence
In technical analysis, divergence is considered either positive or negative, both of which are signals of major shifts in the direction of the price. Positive divergence occurs when the price of a security makes a new low while the indicator starts to climb upward. Negative divergence happens when the price of the security makes a new high, but the indicator fails to do the same and instead closes lower than the previous high.

Forex 101 : Moving Average Convergence Divergence

 
Extract :

Moving Average Convergence Divergence - MACD

What Does It Mean?
What Does Moving Average Convergence Divergence - MACD Mean?
A trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of prices. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the "signal line", is then plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy and sell signals. 


Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Moving Average Convergence Divergence - MACD
There are three common methods used to interpret the MACD:

1. Crossovers - As shown in the chart above, when the MACD falls below the signal line, it is a bearish signal, which indicates that it may be time to sell. Conversely, when the MACD rises above the signal line, the indicator gives a bullish signal, which suggests that the price of the asset is likely to experience upward momentum. Many traders wait for a confirmed cross above the signal line before entering into a position to avoid getting getting "faked out" or entering  into a position too early, as shown by the first arrow. 

2. Divergence - When the security price diverges from the MACD. It signals the end of the current trend.

3. Dramatic rise - When the MACD rises dramatically - that is, the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer-term moving average - it is a signal that the security is overbought and will soon return to normal levels.

Traders also watch for a move above or below the zero line because this signals the position of the short-term average relative to the long-term average. When the MACD is above zero, the short-term average is above the long-term average, which signals upward momentum. The opposite is true when the MACD is below zero. As you can see from the chart above, the zero line often acts as an area of support and resistance for the indicator.

Forex 101 : Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

 
Extract :

Exponential Moving Average - EMA

What Does It Mean?
What Does Exponential Moving Average - EMA Mean?
A type of moving average that is similar to a simple moving average, except that more weight is given to the latest data. Also known as "exponentially weighted moving average".
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Exponential Moving Average - EMA
This type of moving average reacts faster to recent price changes than a simple moving average. The 12- and 26-day EMAs are the most popular short-term averages, and they are used to create indicators like the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the percentage price oscillator (PPO). In general, the 50- and 200-day EMAs are used as signals of long-term trends.

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

Forex 101 : Moving Average (MA)

 
Extract :

Moving Average - MA

What Does It Mean?
What Does Moving Average - MA Mean?
An indicator frequently used in technical analysis showing the average value of a security's price over a set period. Moving averages are generally used to measure momentum and define areas of possible support and resistance.

Moving Average (MA)
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Moving Average - MA
Moving averages are used to emphasize the direction of a trend and to smooth out price and volume fluctuations, or "noise", that can confuse interpretation. Typically, upward momentum is confirmed when a short-term average (e.g.15-day) crosses above a longer-term average (e.g. 50-day). Downward momentum is confirmed when a short-term average crosses below a long-term average.

Forex 101: Williams %R

 
Extract:

Williams %R

What Does It Mean?
What Does Williams %R Mean?
In technical analysis, this is a momentum indicator measuring overbought and oversold levels, similar to a stochastic oscillator. It was developed by Larry Williams and compares a stock's close to the high-low range over a certain period of time, usually 14 days.

Williams %R
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Williams %R
It is used to determine market entry and exit points. The Williams %R produces values from 0 to -100, a reading over 80 usually indicates a stock is oversold, while readings below 20 suggests a stock is overbought.

Forex 101: Stochastic

 
Extract:

Stochastic Oscillator

What Does It Mean?
What Does Stochastic Oscillator Mean?
A technical momentum indicator that compares a security's closing price to its price range over a given time period. The oscillator's sensitivity to market movements can be reduced by adjusting the time period or by taking a moving average of the result. This indicator is calculated with the following formula:

%K = 100[(C - L14)/(H14 - L14)]

C = the most recent closing price
L14 = the low of the 14 previous trading sessions
H14 = the highest price traded during the same 14-day period.

%D = 3-period moving average of %K

Stochastic Oscillator
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains Stochastic Oscillator
The theory behind this indicator is that in an upward-trending market, prices tend to close near their high, and during a downward-trending market, prices tend to close near their low. Transaction signals occur when the %K crosses through a three-period moving average called the "%D".